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Keep It Simple - What is Dollar Cost Averaging?

Monday, September 26, 2011

An oft-cited tenet of investing philosophy that has been passed down over the years is that Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) is a good way to invest in a risk-managed manner, particularly for beginning investors.

The basic approach is that you invest a consistent amount at regular intervals, which ensures that you buy more shares when prices are low (and fewer shares when they're higher).  You engage in DCA with each 401(k) contribution, and with any systematic investments you make to an IRA, 529 plan or a taxable investment account.

For instance, if you had $8,000 to invest at the beginning of this year, and decided that you simply wanted to invest in an index fund that tracks the S&P 500 Index, you could have chosen the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund (SPY)*.  You would have then faced the decision of when to invest the money.  Doing so on January 1 would have allowed you to buy at $128.68.  Investing $1,000 on the first day of every month would have given you an average cost of $131.16, because prices trended higher through much of the first half of this year. 

DATE CLOSE
8/1/2011  $122.22
7/1/2011  $129.33
6/1/2011  $131.97
5/1/2011  $134.90
4/1/2011  $136.43
3/1/2011  $132.59
2/1/2011  $133.15
1/1/2011  $128.68

Is it a good idea?

Probably the most logical comparison to make is between DCA and lump sum investing.  In other words, if you don't have a lump sum that you could invest at the beginning of a period, but want to invest on an ongoing basis, your decision to dollar cost average is pretty straightforward.

What if you do have a lump sum that you could invest?  Should you average into the market over time?

While DCA may feel better to a lot of investors, the fact is that it doesn't result in better aggregate returns.  If you had $10,000 ready to invest at most points in history, you'd be statistically better off putting it all in the market rather than averaging in over time.  Why?  Because the market typically goes up.  I know, I know, it doesn't seem like it, especially after watching CNBC the past few weeks.  However, between 1970 and 2010 most sectors within the stock market showed a loss in only 7-9 of the 40 years, depending on the sector.  Since 1926, it's more like 20 years, out of 84.  I don't want to sound too analytical, but the stock market goes up more than it goes down.  It stands to reason that investing a lump sum at the beginning of a period will generally do better than spreading it across a series of investments over a number of years.  Of course, you may not want to break that data out at a cocktail party with somebody who went all-in in May of 2008.

The decision to invest the lump sum is more obvious for the dividend enthusiasts among us.  Waiting to get into the market could mean foregoing dividend payments.  Those dividend payments can be reinvested, and over the long run they will contribute significantly to the overall returns of a stock market investment.

Does it ever make sense?

A Dollar Cost Averaging approach to investing matches up nicely with most savers' ability to invest.  Not many of us have a pile of cash sitting around looking for something to do.  Not to sound like Yogi Berra, but if such a pile exists, and we invest it, it no longer exists.  Systematic investing makes a ton of sense, and that implies that DCA is at work.  The discipline and forced savings that accompany such an approach are key components of building wealth, and in that sense Dollar Cost Averaging makes a ton of sense.

*Not a recommendation to buy a specific security.

Tags: dollar cost averaging

College Savings | Investing | Retirement Planning

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Keep it simple - What is a Target-Date Fund?

Monday, September 19, 2011

If you participate in a 401(k) plan, chances are you've heard of target-date funds.  Perhaps you've even been told that your contributions will default to such a fund if you don't specify otherwise.  In the last few weeks I've worked with employees of at least 4 employers for which this is the case.  All in all, more than 70% of 401(k) plans now offer target-date funds, and for various reasons they are often the default option for new participants in the plans.  Another popular use of these funds is in 529 plans for college savings.

So...what is a target-date fund?

A target-date fund is a mutual fund that invests in multiple asset classes in a way that is designed to be appropriate for a time horizon defined by the fund.  The asset mix changes to become more conservative over time, as the target date gets closer.  This change in asset mix over time is commonly referred to as the glide path.  Because it invests in multiple asset classes, such as various classes of stocks and bonds, and alters the asset allocation over time, the target-date fund is really designed to be a portfolio unto itself.  In practice, such funds will typically invest in several other mutual funds, each of which is dedicated to a specific asset class.

Challenges of target-date funds

Probably the most significant over-riding challenge associated with target-date funds is the fact that many consumers group all such funds together.  I think most tend to understand the difference between a fund targeted at, for instance, retirement in 2015 vs. retirement in 2040, fewer seem to distinguish between the 2040 offering from Vanguard and the 2040 offering from T. Rowe Price or Fidelity.  These funds are not necessarily managed in a similar manner.  Asset allocations will likely differ, and the underlying funds that the target-date funds own will certainly be different.  A recent Government Accountability Office (GAO) report found that the performance of these funds varies widely from family to family.

More specific criticisms include:

Expenses - Target-date funds typically charge fees at the fund level, including a management fee to cover the effort associated with defining the asset mix and selecting underlying funds in which to invest.  Of course, these underlying funds charge fees of their own, which results in the layering of fees.  The underlying funds are often index funds, and the associated fees can be relatively inexpensive.  That's not always the case, though, and it takes some digging to unearth the total cost of investing in target-date funds.

One-size-fits-all approach - The fact that two individuals plan to retire in the same year does not mean that an identical investment approach is warranted.  Among other things, they may be different ages, and may have different levels of risk tolerance.

Investments - The fund family that manages a target-date fund will typically look to invest in funds from within the same family.  For instance, Fidelity will invest in Fidelity-managed funds, the MFS Lifetime funds invest in other MFS-managed funds, etc.  Without trying to indict a specific fund family, there may be an incentive to use less popular and less successful funds within the target-date funds.

Are they good for anything?

I think the best argument in favor of target-date funds is that the better ones serve as a reasonable default option for investors who will not otherwise put forth the effort to select funds in a methodical manner, according to an allocation that makes sense for them.  If they prompt people to save who otherwise wouldn't, regardless of the reasons, they are probably serving a valuable purpose.  Regardless, this is an increasingly broad category of products, and to really ensure that a target-date fund is a reasonable option requires some digging.  

Tags: target-date funds

401k | 529 Plans | Investing | Retirement Planning

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Pull Your Finances together - CFP Board

Saturday, September 17, 2011

Tags: cfp

General Personal Finance

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Quoted in Reuters: How parents of multiples tackle financial challenges

Friday, September 09, 2011

I was quoted this week on Reuters Money regarding the financial challenges faced by parents of triplets/multiples.

Certainly, there are some unique and often surprising financial considerations for parents of multiples, and I thought I'd elaborate on the article's content a bit to highlight an idea that I think is important to overall well-being:  the idea of financial flexibility.

My wife and I were married for about seven years before she got pregnant.  We both had jobs that paid well, and we traveled internationally a fair amount but otherwise were relatively frugal.  For most of that time we basically lived on one salary and invested the other, with the vague notion that it would buy us some flexibility down the road.  I was specifically thinking in terms of children, but that flexibility could have applied to losing a job, a disability, or other unforeseen disruptions that are part of life.  In fact, my wife was planning to continue working at least part-time after having a child.  Fortunately, she's frugal by nature.

As it happened, we had three children at once, and the idea of my wife going back to work became far less appealing. Our vague notion of financial flexibility crystallized, and we adjusted.

O'Reillly triplets

The other thing that the birth of my children helped crystallize for me was the idea of what I wanted to be when I grew up.  Investing and personal finance had been a passionate hobby throughout my adulthood, and I had a fuzzy plan to retire early and provide investment advice to others.  The arrival of our triplets was a key driver in convincing me that there's no time like the present to chase your passion, and it also illustrated in no uncertain terms that a need existed for everyday people to get competent financial advice.  I also wanted to be a big part of my kids' life and wanted more control overy my schedule.  So I started my own financial planning firm, and I haven't looked back.  Our kids are now in first grade, and my wife has returned to work, but the flexible financial foundation we established before she got pregnant allowed us to not only survive the addition of triplets to our family, but to dictate the terms of how we managed it.  We've made a lot of sacrifices, but we value what we've gained much more than what we've sacrificed.

People every day face financial hiccups and breakdowns for which they could not possibly have planned. You can't plan for everything.  However, the earlier you start practicing the most basic of financial planning fundamentals, the more prepared you'll be for whatever life brings.  That fundamental concept?  Live Below Your Means.

Tags: reuters, parents of multiples, parents of triplets, financial challenges

Spending | Twins and Triplets

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Intel 401k changes - deadline is this week

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

Reminder for Intel employees: this week marks the deadline to elect changes to your investments and contributions related to Intel's overhaul of your 401k plan.

If you're a participant in the Intel 401k plan and don't make an election by Friday, September 9, your existing funds and future contributions will default to a target-date fund that corresponds to your date of birth. This shift will actually take place effective September 30.

The target-date approach may be a good option for you; regardless, it makes sense to review all of the options, ensure you've got complete information regarding expenses, and make a deliberate decision. Consider it an opportunity to put structured decision-making skills to work.

This is a big change. Some of the potential options will cost a lot more than they used to, and that will impact your returns. There have been so many options within the Intel 401k that the impact will be different for everybody. Several of the employees with whom I've spoken have been vaguely aware of a change, but haven't had an appreciation of its significance. If you're not sure what to do, feel free to drop me a line.

Tags: intel 401k

401k | Retirement Planning

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